https://youtu.be/-Q5rcQ2z-HE
A fund payout does not automatically create extra wealth. Imagine owning one hundred mutual fund shares at a twenty dollar net asset value. Your holding is worth two thousand dollars before a distribution. Assume the fund distributes one dollar per share in cash and nothing else changes. Net asset value falls to nineteen dollars. You now have ni...
https://youtu.be/FInRnCmrYDM
A callable bond can return your principal just when comparable income becomes harder to find. Imagine a bond with one thousand dollars of face value pays a six percent annual coupon. That means sixty dollars of annual coupon income. Assume its terms permit a call at par and the issuer redeems it. If you reinvest that thousand dollars at four per...
https://youtu.be/mdg9DDU6wEc
A warehouse total alone cannot tell you how quickly products move. Imagine annual cost of sales is six hundred thousand dollars and average inventory at cost is one hundred thousand dollars. Keep both measurements on a cost basis. Dividing annual cost of sales by average inventory gives six turns per year. Using a three hundred sixty five day ye...
https://youtu.be/4wP1-pcWWtk
A rising stock does not give a call spread unlimited upside. Imagine buying a fifty strike call and selling a fifty five strike call on the same stock, with the same expiration. The net debit is two dollars per share. At expiration, the spread value cannot exceed the five dollar strike width. Maximum profit is three dollars per share before cost...
https://youtu.be/_CcCMTzu8oo
Two companies with equal stock market values can have different financing burdens. Imagine each has a one billion dollar equity market value. Company A has three hundred million dollars of debt and one hundred million in cash. In a simplified enterprise value calculation, add debt and subtract cash. Company A's enterprise value is one point two ...
https://youtu.be/h3ZIsZ8rYtQ
Eight wins out of ten trades looks like an eighty percent win rate. But a small sample can move sharply with just one observation. Imagine the next trade loses, leaving eight wins out of eleven. The observed win rate is now about seventy two point seven percent. Nothing about that arithmetic proves the strategy's true future win probability. The...
https://youtu.be/ilvwwrgWcEU
A positive return does not tell you whether a fund kept pace with its comparison. Imagine a fund gains eight percent during a year while its stated benchmark gains twelve percent over the same period. The fund trails by four percentage points, even though an investor made money before any personal taxes. That difference is not a four percent los...
https://youtu.be/G_auf2kVrLs
A stop price is not a guaranteed exit price. Imagine buying a stock at fifty dollars and placing a sell stop at forty eight. Your planned difference is two dollars per share, before costs. Now imagine news arrives overnight and the next available execution is forty five dollars. Once triggered, a regular stop becomes a market order. In this hypo...
https://youtu.be/alpF2J6Vv6k
A steeper yield curve does not tell you which end moved. In a hypothetical example, a short maturity yields four percent and a long maturity yields five percent. The long minus short spread is one percentage point. One path lowers the short yield to three percent while the long yield stays five. Another leaves the short yield at four while the l...
https://youtu.be/XkFjkP-t-nA
A producer price increase does not translate one for one into consumer inflation. Producer indexes measure selling prices received by domestic producers. Consumer indexes measure prices paid by consumers. Coverage, weights, and pricing stages differ. Imagine one product sells for one hundred dollars and includes twenty dollars of a particular in...
https://youtu.be/gAN1rrYpXu8
Total revenue can hide dependence on one customer. Imagine a business with one hundred million dollars of annual revenue. One customer accounts for forty million, or forty percent. If that customer cuts purchases in half and everything else stays unchanged, revenue falls by twenty million dollars to eighty million. This is a sensitivity scenario...
https://youtu.be/XD5WQOqimNE
Ten holdings do not automatically mean ten independent risks. Imagine ten equal positions, each worth one thousand dollars. If all depend on the same industry, a shared shock can affect every holding. In a hypothetical stress scenario, each position falls twenty percent. The ten thousand dollar portfolio loses two thousand dollars. Adding more n...
https://youtu.be/ZT5BNVQ57AI
A company can earn more while each share earns less. In a hypothetical year, income available to common shareholders is ten million dollars, with five million weighted average common shares. Basic earnings per share is two dollars. Next year, common earnings rise to twelve million dollars, but weighted average shares rise to eight million. Basic...
https://youtu.be/rjWb-AGFgzs
Two businesses can produce the same operating cash flow and leave different amounts after equipment spending. In a hypothetical year, both generate twenty million dollars from operations. Business A spends five million on property and equipment. Business B spends fifteen million. Subtract those purchases from operating cash flow. The simplified ...
https://youtu.be/O7YS45iPFCA
Core inflation does not mean food and energy stopped costing money. The consumer price index for all items includes those categories. A commonly reported core index excludes food and energy to examine price changes outside those relatively volatile components. Imagine a simplified basket with eighty percent weight outside food and energy and twe...
https://youtu.be/cvLkBvs4eHk
A pay raise measures dollars, not automatically purchasing power. In a hypothetical year, annual income rises from fifty thousand dollars to fifty two thousand. That is a four percent nominal increase. Suppose the relevant consumer price index rises five percent over the same period. Divide the new income by one point zero five to express it in ...
https://youtu.be/fHQxne7pXV8
The newest jobs headline is only one part of a payroll release. Imagine a report shows two hundred thousand jobs added in the latest month. Earlier estimates for the previous two months are revised down by forty thousand and thirty thousand. The combined backward revision is negative seventy thousand. Relative to the previously published employm...
https://youtu.be/2vzS7fu-9m8
A foreign investment can gain in its home currency while losing value in dollars. Imagine an unhedged holding starts at one hundred euros, and each euro is worth one dollar. Its starting dollar value is one hundred dollars. The holding rises ten percent to one hundred ten euros. But suppose each euro is now worth ninety cents. Translate the endi...
https://youtu.be/fvf0aOzkZ_8
Apple closes at 335.17, near this candle high of 335.17. The real body is 0.35, within a total range of 0.46. That is approximately 76 percent body. This is a strong closing position, not necessarily a perfect marubozu with zero wicks. Use the actual measurements instead of forcing a pattern name. A strong candle can still fail; compare the next...
https://youtu.be/ZXFEHufhhsM
On NVIDIA, compare the two real bodies. The earlier red body spans 237.69 to 238.04. The next green candle opens at 237.65 and closes at 238.52, covering that body interval. This is bullish engulfing body geometry. It does not require taking out both prior wicks. Keep the definition separate from a trade: location, invalidation and the next comp...
https://youtu.be/ASE5EX75nP0
This Tesla candle has a real body of 0.00, but a full high to low range of 0.40. The body occupies approximately 0 percent of the range. Our explicit doji-like rule here is below eight percent. The open and close are close together, yet price still traveled inside the candle. A small body does not tell you the sequence of trades or promise a rev...
https://youtu.be/rW9NFLWzfpc
On Sandisk, this completed upswing starts at 1637.00 and ends at 1643.58. Those are the anchors, not random chart points. The range is 6.58. A thirty eight point two percent retracement subtracts that fraction of the range from the high, giving 1641.07. Different anchors create different levels. This is a historical worked example; the completed...
https://youtu.be/j1HhuqrR1R4
Compare two retracement references on NVIDIA. This completed swing runs from 236.81 to 238.10. Halfway back from the high is 237.46. Sixty one point eight percent back is 237.30. Fifty percent is a common chart convention, not a Fibonacci ratio. Price can pass through both lines. Define the swing and watch the next completed candle rather than a...
https://youtu.be/9HFMgMgV3UY
This Apple extension uses a completed swing from 336.17 to 337.45. Multiply the swing range by one point two seven two, then add the original low. That projects 337.80, beyond the original high. Retracements sit inside the original swing; this extension sits above it. The arithmetic does not establish the probability of reaching the target. Keep...
https://youtu.be/3KC7OZcpShI
A signal can look accurate and still produce many false alarms when the event is rare. Imagine one thousand cases, with a real event in only ten of them. A detector catches nine of those ten events. Now suppose it also flags one percent of the nine hundred ninety non-events, roughly ten false alarms. You receive about nineteen alerts, but only n...
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